Predicting the 2017 Oscar Awards


A couple dances in a field
Victoria Anders PO ’18 predicts a Best Picture win for La La Land at the Oscars. (Courtesy of Dale Robinette)

Oscar season is here again, and all of Hollywood’s finest stars will walk down the red carpet to be asked who they’re wearing by an overly eager Ryan Seacrest. If all previous award shows from this year serve as predictors, this last, biggest show will likely turn very political very quickly. The ceremony’s In Memoriam will be one of the longest on record, honoring everyone from Carrie Fisher and Debbie Reynolds to Alan Rickman and Gene Wilder. La La Land leads with a record-tying 14 nominations (along with 1997’s Titanic and 1950’s All About Eve). Jimmy Kimmel will host, and Justin Timberlake, Lin-Manuel Miranda, Sting, and John Legend will perform.

The Contenders

Best Picture

The nominees are: Arrival, Fences, Hacksaw Ridge, Hell or High Water, Hidden Figures, La La Land, Lion, Manchester by the Sea, Moonlight

The Oscar will go to: La La Land

Could/Should win: Moonlight should and could

Dissed: Loving, 20th Century Women, Nocturnal Animals

Best Actress

The nominees are: Isabelle Huppert (Elle), Ruth Negga (Loving), Natalie Portman (Jackie), Emma Stone (La La Land), Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)

The Oscar will go to: Emma Stone

Could/Should win: Isabelle Huppert should and could

Dissed: Amy Adams (Arrival), Annette Bening (20th Century Women), Taraji P. Henson (Hidden Figures)

Best Actor

The nominees are: Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea), Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge), Ryan Gosling (La La Land), Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic), Denzel Washington (Fences)

The Oscar will go to: Denzel Washington

Could/Should win: Casey Affleck could

Dissed: Joel Edgerton (Loving), Andrew Garfield (Silence), Tom Hanks (Sully)

Best Supporting Actress

The nominees are: Viola Davis (Fences), Naomie Harris (Moonlight), Nicole Kidman (Lion), Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures), Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)

The Oscar will go to: Viola Davis, who will likely inspire all with her acceptance speech

Could/Should win: Michelle Williams could

Dissed: Greta Gerwig (Jackie), Janelle Monae (Hidden Figures)

Best Supporting Actor

The nominees are: Mahershala Ali (Moonlight), Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water), Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea), Dev Patel (Lion), Michael Shannon (Nocturnal Animals)

The Oscar will go to: Mahershala Ali  

Could/Should win: Jeff Bridges could

Dissed: Kevin Costner (Hidden Figures), Aaron Taylor-Johnson (Nocturnal Animals)

Best Director

The nominees are: Damien Chazelle (La La Land), Barry Jenkins (Moonlight), Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea), Mel Gibson (Hacksaw Ridge), Dennis Villeneuve (Arrival)

The Oscar will go to: Damien Chazelle

Could/Should win: Barry Jenkins should

Dissed: Denzel Washington (Fences), Garth Davis (Lion), David Mackenzie (Hell or High Water)

Best Adapted Screenplay

The nominees are: Arrival, Fences, Hidden Figures, Lion, Moonlight

The Oscar will go to: Moonlight

Could/Should win: Arrival could

Dissed: Loving, Nocturnal Animals

Best Original Screenplay

The nominees are: 20th Century Women, Hell or High Water, La La Land, The Lobster, Manchester by the Sea

The Oscar will go to: Manchester by the Sea

Could/Should win: La La Land could

Dissed: Captain Fantastic, Zootopia

Best Animated Feature Film

The nominees are: Kubo and the Two Strings, Moana, My Life as a Zucchini, The Red Turtle, Zootopia

The Oscar will go to: Zootopia

Could/Should win: Kubo and the Two Strings could

Dissed: Miss Hokusai, The Little Prince

Best Documentary

The nominees are: 13th, Fire at Sea, I Am Not Your Negro, Life, Animated, OJ: Made in America

The Oscar will go to: OJ: Made in America

Could/Should win: 13th should

Dissed: Gleason, Cameraperson, Weiner

Best Foreign Language Film

The nominees are: Land of Mine (Denmark), A Man Called Ove (Sweden), The Salesman (Iran), Tanna (Australia), Toni Erdmann (Germany)

The Oscar will go to: The Salesman

Could/Should win: Toni Erdmann

Dissed: My Life as a Zucchini (Switzerland), Paradise (Russia)

Best Original Score

The nominees are: Jackie, La La Land, Lion, Moonlight, Passengers

The Oscar will go to: La La Land

Could/Should win: Lion could

Dissed: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, Kubo and the Two Strings

Best Cinematography

The nominees are: Arrival, La La Land, Lion, Moonlight, Silence

The Oscar will go to: La La Land

Could/Should win: Lion could, Moonlight should

Dissed: Nocturnal Animals, Hacksaw Ridge, Hail, Caesar!

Best Costume Design

The nominees are: Allied, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, Florence Foster Jenkins, Jackie, La La Land

The Oscar goes to: Jackie

Could/Should win: La La Land could

Dissed: The Dressmaker, Live by Night

I’ve developed my predictions through personal opinions of film topic and story originality, and depth of performance.

Don’t hold me to any of these predictions, but do comment if you think I missed the mark or didn’t mention something that you think should have been nominated!

Laemmle Theaters in the Village are screening the Oscar Nominated Shorts in all three categories (Animated, Live Action, Documentary) this weekend.

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